UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lewis vs Werdum

1,916

CageRank

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.5 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Derrick Lewis
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 242 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 32 years vs 40 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lewis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lewis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Lewis
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lewis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lewis is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lewis is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Lewis 9.5
Great knockouts by Lewis
Round 3 Mar 01, 2013 vs Shivers
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Frazier
Round 2 Jul 24, 2010 vs Martinez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Lewis 6.5
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Lewis 8.3
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Lewis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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