UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lewis vs Nelson

1,916

CageRank

WINNER
Nelson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
61% chance Nelson
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Roy Nelson
Significantly fast finishes 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Derrick Lewis
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 32 years vs 41 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 264 lbs vs 248 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Nelson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lewis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roy
Nelson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nelson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nelson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nelson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lewis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Lewis
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lewis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lewis is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lewis is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nelson 9.4
fighter Lewis 9.5
Great knockouts by Lewis
Round 3 Mar 01, 2013 vs Shivers
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Frazier
Round 2 Jul 24, 2010 vs Martinez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nelson 6.7
fighter Lewis 6.5
Great submissions by Nelson
Round 1 May 06, 2006 vs Godsey
Round 1 Apr 01, 2006 vs Buchkovich
Round 3 Apr 17, 2004 vs Cantrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nelson 9.2
fighter Lewis 8.3
Fast finishes by Nelson
123 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Kongo
51 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Herman
39 seconds Mar 31, 2010 vs Struve
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 7, 2016UFC Fight Night 90
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nelson
legend Lewis
Read More
Lewis vs dos Santos
Fantasy Cage Match
Nelson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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