UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lewis vs Frazier

1,916

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lewis

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Lewis
WILL WIN

1,667

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Derrick Lewis
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Justin Frazier
Younger 27 years vs 32 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Lewis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Frazier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derrick
Lewis
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lewis has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lewis is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lewis is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Frazier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lewis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Frazier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Frazier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Frazier is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Frazier is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lewis 9.5
fighter Frazier 8.2
Great knockouts by Lewis
Round 3 Mar 01, 2013 vs Shivers
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Frazier
Round 2 Jul 24, 2010 vs Martinez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lewis 6.5
fighter Frazier 6.7
Great submissions by Frazier
Round 1 Feb 12, 2011 vs Lewis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lewis 8.3
fighter Frazier 8.1
Fast finishes by Lewis
862 seconds Mar 01, 2013 vs Shivers
157 seconds Mar 30, 2012 vs Frazier
363 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Martinez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 30, 2012RFA 2
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 KOX
1,7271,713
1,7751,665
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lewis
legend Frazier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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