UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Leone vs Barao

1,812

CageRank

WINNER
Barao

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Barao
WILL WIN

2,194

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Renan Barao
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.3 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 179 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Anthony Leone
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Barao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Leone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Renan
Barao
In 8:56, how much damage will he do? Barao Leone
Significant Strikes50
Barao's good striking offense may be a factor against Leone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:56
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Barao's average takedown offense is matched by Leone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barao is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barao has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Barao has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Leone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Leone
In 8:56, how much damage will he do? Leone Barao
Significant Strikes30
Leone's average striking offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:56
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Leone's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Barao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Leone is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Leone is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Leone is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Barao 8.9
fighter Leone 8.3
Great striking by Barao
36 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
85 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Faber
104 strikes Feb 04, 2012 vs Jorgensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barao 7.7
fighter Leone 6.3
Great knockouts by Barao
Round 2 Sep 21, 2013 vs Wineland
Round 2 Aug 13, 2009 vs Sardinha
Round 3 Nov 29, 2008 vs Pinheiro

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barao 8.5
fighter Leone 7.7
Great submissions by Barao
Round 4 Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Round 1 Dec 16, 2010 vs Cariaso

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barao 8.6
fighter Leone 7.2
Fast finishes by Barao
335 seconds Sep 21, 2013 vs Wineland
1137 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs McDonald
249 seconds Nov 05, 2011 vs Pickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 20, 2010WEC 49
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XR1 SUB
1,7932,019
1,7722,041
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barao
legend Leone
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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