UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stark vs Boetsch

1,706

CageRank

WINNER
Boetsch

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
84% chance Boetsch
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Much heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.3 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Aaron Stark
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stark’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Stark on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aaron
Stark
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stark is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stark is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stark is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Boetsch 7.6
fighter Stark 6.3
Great knockouts by Boetsch
Round 3 Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Round 1 Feb 02, 2008 vs Heath

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Boetsch 7.4
fighter Stark 7.9
Great submissions by Stark
Round 1 Jul 29, 2011 vs Torgeson
Round 3 Sep 19, 2008 vs Fields
Round 2 Nov 02, 2006 vs Schoenauer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Boetsch 7.8
fighter Stark 7.7
Fast finishes by Boetsch
654 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
65 seconds Apr 03, 2010 vs Shaner
123 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 15, 2009KOTC - Thunderstruck
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
R1 SUBX
1,8041,760
1,7481,816
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Boetsch
legend Stark
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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