UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Saunders vs Swick

1,981

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Saunders

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Saunders
WILL WIN

1,931

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Saunders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.0 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Mike Swick
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Saunders on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Swick’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Saunders
In 11:38, how much damage will he do? Saunders Swick
Significant Strikes52
Saunders's average striking offense is matched by Swick's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Saunders's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Swick's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:38
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saunders has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Saunders is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Saunders is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Swick on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saunders’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Swick
In 11:38, how much damage will he do? Swick Saunders
Significant Strikes43
Swick's average striking offense is matched by Saunders's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Swick's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Saunders's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:38
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Swick has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Swick is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Swick is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Saunders 8.6
fighter Swick 8.4
Great striking by Saunders
22 strikes Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis
42 strikes Dec 10, 2008 vs Wolff
41 strikes Aug 09, 2008 vs Thomas

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Saunders 7.7
fighter Swick 7.8
Great takedowns by Swick
1 takedown Jun 13, 2009 vs Saunders
2 takedowns Jun 07, 2008 vs Davis
3 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Loiseau

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saunders 8.5
fighter Swick 8.5
Great knockouts by Swick
Round 2 Aug 04, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Jun 13, 2009 vs Saunders
Round 1 Dec 10, 2008 vs Goulet

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saunders 7.5
fighter Swick 7.0
Great submissions by Saunders
Round 3 Oct 08, 2011 vs Santos
Round 1 Nov 06, 2010 vs Harshbarger
Round 2 Aug 09, 2008 vs Thomas

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saunders 8.4
fighter Swick 8.4
Fast finishes by Saunders
176 seconds Feb 21, 2013 vs Amaya
705 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Santos
204 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 13, 2009UFC 99
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR2 KO
1,8382,060
1,8172,081
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saunders
legend Swick
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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