UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Saunders vs Wolff

1,981

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Saunders

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance Saunders
WILL WIN

1,644

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Saunders
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.1 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much taller 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Much longer reach 197 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.3 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 34 years vs 41 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 167 lbs Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Brandon Wolff
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Saunders on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wolff’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Saunders
In 8:09, how much damage will he do? Saunders Wolff
Significant Strikes43
Saunders's average striking offense is matched by Wolff's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:09
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Saunders's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Wolff's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:09
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saunders has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Saunders has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Saunders is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Wolff on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saunders’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brandon
Wolff
In 8:09, how much damage will he do? Wolff Saunders
Significant Strikes23
Wolff's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Saunders's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:09
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Wolff's average takedown offense is matched by Saunders's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wolff is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Wolff is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wolff is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Saunders 8.6
fighter Wolff 8.0
Great striking by Saunders
22 strikes Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis
42 strikes Dec 10, 2008 vs Wolff
41 strikes Aug 09, 2008 vs Thomas

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saunders 8.5
fighter Wolff 7.1
Great knockouts by Saunders
Round 1 Feb 21, 2013 vs Amaya
Round 3 Sep 10, 2011 vs Cisneros
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saunders 7.5
fighter Wolff 6.3
Great submissions by Saunders
Round 3 Oct 08, 2011 vs Santos
Round 1 Nov 06, 2010 vs Harshbarger
Round 2 Aug 09, 2008 vs Thomas

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saunders 8.4
fighter Wolff 7.1
Fast finishes by Saunders
176 seconds Feb 21, 2013 vs Amaya
705 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Santos
204 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 10, 2008UFC Fight Night 16
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 SUBX
1,7911,771
1,8381,724
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saunders
legend Wolff
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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