UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Saunders vs Davis

1,981

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Saunders

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Saunders
WILL WIN

1,772

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Saunders
Much taller 191 cm vs 173 cm More than 10% taller
Much longer reach 197 cm vs 178 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 34 years vs 43 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Marcus Davis
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Saunders on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Davis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Saunders
In 10:54, how much damage will he do? Saunders Davis
Significant Strikes51
Saunders's average striking offense is matched by Davis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Saunders's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Davis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saunders has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Saunders is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Saunders is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Davis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saunders’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcus
Davis
In 10:54, how much damage will he do? Davis Saunders
Significant Strikes41
Davis's average striking offense is matched by Saunders's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Davis's average takedown offense is matched by Saunders's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Davis is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Davis is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Davis has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Saunders 8.6
fighter Davis 8.4
Great striking by Saunders
22 strikes Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis
42 strikes Dec 10, 2008 vs Wolff
41 strikes Aug 09, 2008 vs Thomas

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Saunders 7.7
fighter Davis 8.1
Great takedowns by Davis
1 takedown Oct 18, 2008 vs Kelly
1 takedown Sep 08, 2007 vs Taylor
1 takedown Dec 13, 2006 vs Carter

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saunders 8.5
fighter Davis 7.2
Great knockouts by Saunders
Round 1 Feb 21, 2013 vs Amaya
Round 3 Sep 10, 2011 vs Cisneros
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saunders 7.5
fighter Davis 7.2
Great submissions by Saunders
Round 3 Oct 08, 2011 vs Santos
Round 1 Nov 06, 2010 vs Harshbarger
Round 2 Aug 09, 2008 vs Thomas

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saunders 8.4
fighter Davis 7.6
Fast finishes by Saunders
176 seconds Feb 21, 2013 vs Amaya
705 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Santos
204 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 21, 2009UFC 106
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,8171,943
1,8841,876
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saunders
legend Davis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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