UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Saunders vs Thomas

1,981

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Saunders

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
77% chance Saunders
WILL WIN

1,767

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ben Saunders
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Ryan Thomas
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.7 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Saunders on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thomas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Saunders
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Saunders Thomas
Significant Strikes78
Saunders's average striking offense is matched by Thomas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Saunders's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Thomas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saunders has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Saunders is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Saunders has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Thomas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saunders’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Thomas
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Thomas Saunders
Significant Strikes53
Thomas's average striking offense is matched by Saunders's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Thomas's average takedown offense is matched by Saunders's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thomas is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Thomas has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Thomas is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Saunders 8.6
fighter Thomas 8.3
Great striking by Saunders
22 strikes Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis
42 strikes Dec 10, 2008 vs Wolff
41 strikes Aug 09, 2008 vs Thomas

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saunders 8.5
fighter Thomas 7.2
Great knockouts by Saunders
Round 1 Feb 21, 2013 vs Amaya
Round 3 Sep 10, 2011 vs Cisneros
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saunders 7.5
fighter Thomas 8.5
Great submissions by Thomas
Round 1 Feb 19, 2011 vs Head
Round 1 Aug 09, 2009 vs Stout
Round 1 May 02, 2008 vs Holmes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saunders 8.4
fighter Thomas 8.3
Fast finishes by Saunders
176 seconds Feb 21, 2013 vs Amaya
705 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Santos
204 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Davis
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 9, 2008UFC 87
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,7311,804
1,7911,744
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saunders
legend Thomas
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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