UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kang vs Mousasi

1,770

CageRank

WINNER
Mousasi

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Mousasi
WILL WIN

2,154

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gegard Mousasi
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much harder to hit 9.9 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.3 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.1 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 32 years vs 40 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 186 lbs vs 184 lbs Almost the same
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Denis Kang
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Mousasi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kang’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gegard
Mousasi
In 7:44, how much damage will he do? Mousasi Kang
Significant Strikes35
Mousasi's excellent striking offense will dominate Kang's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:44
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mousasi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Kang's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Mousasi has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mousasi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kang on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mousasi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Denis
Kang
In 7:44, how much damage will he do? Kang Mousasi
Significant Strikes12
Kang's average striking offense won't be a factor against Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:44
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kang's average takedown offense is matched by Mousasi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kang is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kang is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kang is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mousasi 9.0
fighter Kang 8.3
Great striking by Mousasi
23 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
12 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
6 strikes Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.6
fighter Kang 8.4
Great takedowns by Mousasi
4 takedowns Dec 17, 2011 vs St. Preux
1 takedown Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
1 takedown Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mousasi 7.8
fighter Kang 7.5
Great knockouts by Mousasi
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Thierry Sokoudjou
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Souza

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mousasi 8.4
fighter Kang 7.1
Great submissions by Mousasi
Round 1 Jan 12, 2013 vs Kyle
Round 1 Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
Round 1 Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mousasi 8.8
fighter Kang 7.9
Fast finishes by Mousasi
60 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Sobral
88 seconds Sep 23, 2008 vs Manhoef
190 seconds Apr 29, 2008 vs Kang
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 29, 2008Dream 2
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 KO
1,9671,986
1,9202,033
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mousasi
legend Kang
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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