Fabio Mello 10-8

Weight 144 lbs
Height 5' 6"
Reach
Age 43

Jose Aldo 27-4 Scarface

144 lbs
5' 7"
70"
31

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mello vs Aldo

CageRank

95% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Jose Aldo

Much heavier hands	8.8	vs	6.7	More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense	9.5	vs	8.0	Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit	9.2	vs	8.5	Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes	8.7	vs	7.7	More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker	8.9	vs	8.3	More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much younger	31 years	vs	43 years	Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger jaw	9.1	vs	8.1	More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight	9.6	vs	8.5	Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense	9.5	vs	8.7	Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller	170 cm	vs	168 cm	Almost the same

Advantages for Fabio Mello

Much better submission offense	7.9	vs	6.6	More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense	8.4	vs	7.9	More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat

Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mello’s defensive skills

Predictions For Jose Aldo
In 9:15, how much damage will he do?	Aldo		Mello
Significant Strikes52 Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Mello's defense Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:15	Good Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Mello's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:15	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Aldo has a good chance of winning by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Good Jaw
Submission Aldo is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability

Mello on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills

Predictions For Fabio Mello
In 9:15, how much damage will he do?	Mello		Aldo
Significant Strikes25 Mello's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:15	Average Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Mello's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:15	Average Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Mello is unlikely to win by knockout	Below average Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Mello is unlikely to win by submission	Good Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Mello is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability