CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Mello vs Aldo
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands | 8.8 | vs | 6.7 | More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders |
Much better takedown defense | 9.5 | vs | 8.0 | Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down |
Much harder to hit | 9.2 | vs | 8.5 | Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Fast finishes | 8.7 | vs | 7.7 | More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Better striker | 8.9 | vs | 8.3 | More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Significantly younger | 31 years | vs | 42 years | More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Significantly stronger jaw | 9.1 | vs | 8.1 | More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Puts up a fight | 9.6 | vs | 8.5 | Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Better submission defense | 9.5 | vs | 8.7 | Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Taller | 170 cm | vs | 168 cm | Almost the same |
Advantages for Fabio Mello
Much better submission offense | 7.9 | vs | 6.6 | More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Stronger takedown offense | 8.4 | vs | 7.9 | More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Aldo on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mello’s defensive skills
Predictions For Jose Aldo |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 9:15, how much damage will he do? | Aldo | Mello | |
Significant Strikes52
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Mello's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:15 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Mello's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:15 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Aldo has a good chance of winning by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Good
Jaw
|
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
Mello on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For Fabio Mello |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 9:15, how much damage will he do? | Mello | Aldo | |
Significant Strikes25
Mello's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:15 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Mello's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:15 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Mello is unlikely to win by knockout |
Below average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Mello is unlikely to win by submission |
Good
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Mello is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes | Feb 02, 2013 | vs Edgar |
51 strikes | Oct 08, 2011 | vs Florian |
38 strikes | Nov 18, 2009 | vs Thomas Brown |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 | Jan 14, 2012 | vs Mendes |
Round 2 | Nov 18, 2009 | vs Thomas Brown |
Round 1 | Jun 07, 2009 | vs Swanson |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Mello
Round 1 | Mar 02, 2012 | vs Huber |
Round 1 | Oct 17, 2009 | vs Castaneda |
Round 3 | Jun 19, 2009 | vs Aziz |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds | Jan 14, 2012 | vs Mendes |
380 seconds | Nov 18, 2009 | vs Thomas Brown |
8 seconds | Jun 07, 2009 | vs Swanson |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


Read More
Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?