UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rua vs Pedro

2,020

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rua

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
94% chance Rua
WILL WIN

1,543

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mauricio Rua
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 7.3 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.2 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Tyson Pedro
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 27 years vs 37 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Rua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pedro’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mauricio
Rua
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rua has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rua is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Rua is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Pedro on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyson
Pedro
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pedro is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pedro is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Pedro is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Pedro 7.7
Great knockouts by Rua
Round 1 Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
Round 1 May 08, 2010 vs Machida
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rua 6.5
fighter Pedro 7.3
Great submissions by Pedro
Round 1 Feb 10, 2018 vs Safarov
Round 1 Nov 26, 2016 vs Rountree
Round 1 Mar 12, 2016 vs Fitzgerald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rua 8.8
fighter Pedro 7.8
Fast finishes by Rua
113 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
215 seconds May 08, 2010 vs Machida
268 seconds Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rua
legend Pedro
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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