UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rua vs St. Preux

2,020

CageRank

WINNER
St. Preux

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance St. Preux
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Mauricio Rua
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 10:29, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Rua
Significant Strikes34
St. Preux's good striking offense won't be a factor against Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:29
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
St. Preux's average takedown offense is matched by Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mauricio
Rua
In 10:29, how much damage will he do? Rua St. Preux
Significant Strikes66
Rua's excellent striking offense will dominate St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:29
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rua's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rua has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rua is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rua is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Preux 8.7
fighter Rua 9.3
Great striking by Rua
16 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
17 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Machida
48 strikes Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Preux 8.0
fighter Rua 8.3
Great takedowns by Rua
8 takedowns Dec 31, 2006 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Jun 26, 2005 vs Rogerio Nogueira
1 takedown Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Preux 8.1
fighter Rua 9.3
Great knockouts by Rua
Round 1 Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
Round 1 May 08, 2010 vs Machida
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Preux 7.9
fighter Rua 6.5
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Preux 9.0
fighter Rua 8.8
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 8, 2014UFC Fight Night 56
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Preux
legend Rua
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
St. Preux vs Anderson
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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