UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rua vs Oezdemir

2,020

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rua

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Rua
WILL WIN

1,758

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mauricio Rua
Significantly heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly better submission offense 6.5 vs 6.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Volkan Oezdemir
Younger 29 years vs 36 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Rua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oezdemir’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mauricio
Rua
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rua has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rua is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Rua is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Oezdemir on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Volkan
Oezdemir
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oezdemir has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oezdemir is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Oezdemir is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Oezdemir 8.8
Great knockouts by Rua
Round 1 Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
Round 1 May 08, 2010 vs Machida
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rua 6.5
fighter Oezdemir 6.4
Great submissions by Rua
Round 1 Oct 21, 2006 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rua 8.8
fighter Oezdemir 8.5
Fast finishes by Rua
113 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
215 seconds May 08, 2010 vs Machida
268 seconds Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rua
legend Oezdemir
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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