UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Silva

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

2,031

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 201 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Thiago Silva
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 11:24, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Silva
Significant Strikes62
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Gustafsson's average takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Silva
In 11:24, how much damage will he do? Silva Gustafsson
Significant Strikes57
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:24
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Silva 9.0
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
fighter Silva 7.3
Great takedowns by Gustafsson
6 takedowns Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
1 takedown Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
2 takedowns Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Silva 8.9
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter Silva 6.9
Great submissions by Gustafsson
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Te-Huna
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Heikkola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter Silva 8.9
Fast finishes by Silva
269 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
95 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
144 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 14, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 2
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 KOX
2,0471,975
2,0871,935
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend Silva
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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