UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Jones

2,153

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 215 cm vs 201 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones Gustafsson
Significant Strikes95
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Jones
Significant Strikes52
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gustafsson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 21, 2013UFC 165
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XR2 SUB
2,1412,321
2,1152,347
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Gustafsson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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