UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Diabate

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
88% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

1,806

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 31 years vs 45 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Cyrille Diabate
Taller 198 cm vs 193 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 206 cm vs 201 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diabate’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 7:55, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Diabate
Significant Strikes37
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Diabate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:55
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Gustafsson's average takedown offense may be a factor against Diabate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Diabate on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cyrille
Diabate
In 7:55, how much damage will he do? Diabate Gustafsson
Significant Strikes30
Diabate's average striking offense is matched by Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 71 Significant Strikes in 7:55
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diabate's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diabate is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diabate is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diabate is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Diabate 8.4
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
fighter Diabate 8.1
Great takedowns by Gustafsson
6 takedowns Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
1 takedown Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
2 takedowns Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Diabate 7.3
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter Diabate 7.5
Great submissions by Diabate
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Griggs
Round 1 Dec 03, 2009 vs Smith
Round 1 Mar 16, 2003 vs Vader

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter Diabate 8.1
Fast finishes by Gustafsson
133 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
521 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
461 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 16, 2010UFC 120
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,8191,942
1,8861,875
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend Diabate
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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