UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Miocic

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
57% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Significantly heavier 244 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 203 cm vs 201 cm Almost the same
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Miocic
Significant Strikes70
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gustafsson's average takedown offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 11:32, how much damage will he do? Miocic Gustafsson
Significant Strikes57
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 104 Significant Strikes in 11:32
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Miocic 8.9
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
fighter Miocic 8.7
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Miocic 9.1
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter Miocic 6.6
Great submissions by Gustafsson
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Te-Huna
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Heikkola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter Miocic 8.9
Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
43 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
567 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend Miocic
Read More
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Miocic vs Jones
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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