UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Manuwa

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
71% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

1,996

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Much stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 30 years vs 37 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Jimi Manuwa
Significantly heavier hands 9.9 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Manuwa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 9:29, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Manuwa
Significant Strikes54
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:29
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gustafsson's average takedown offense is matched by Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Manuwa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jimi
Manuwa
In 9:29, how much damage will he do? Manuwa Gustafsson
Significant Strikes42
Manuwa's good striking offense may be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 85 Significant Strikes in 9:29
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Manuwa's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Manuwa has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Manuwa is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Manuwa is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Manuwa 8.7
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
fighter Manuwa 8.4
Great takedowns by Gustafsson
6 takedowns Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
1 takedown Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
2 takedowns Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Manuwa 9.9
Great knockouts by Manuwa
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
Round 1 Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Kingsbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter Manuwa 6.5
Great submissions by Gustafsson
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Te-Huna
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Heikkola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter Manuwa 8.9
Fast finishes by Gustafsson
133 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
521 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
461 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 8, 2014UFC Fight Night 37
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend Manuwa
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus