UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs St. Preux

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Significantly heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 11:57, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson St. Preux
Significant Strikes69
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:57
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gustafsson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 11:57, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Gustafsson
Significant Strikes52
St. Preux's good striking offense may be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:57
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
St. Preux's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter St. Preux 8.7
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
fighter St. Preux 8.0
Great takedowns by Gustafsson
6 takedowns Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
1 takedown Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
2 takedowns Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter St. Preux 8.1
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter St. Preux 7.9
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter St. Preux 9.0
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend St. Preux
Read More
Gustafsson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
St. Preux vs Anderson
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus