UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Evans

2,153

CageRank

WINNER
Evans

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Evans
WILL WIN

2,222

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rashad Evans
Significantly harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Much taller 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 201 cm vs 191 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 30 years vs 38 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Evans on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rashad
Evans
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Evans Gustafsson
Significant Strikes71
Evans's good striking offense may be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Evans's good takedown offense is matched by Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evans is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Evans has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Evans
Significant Strikes57
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense is matched by Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gustafsson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Evans 8.9
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Evans 9.1
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
Great takedowns by Evans
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
3 takedowns May 29, 2010 vs Jackson
8 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans 8.6
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evans 6.8
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
Great submissions by Gustafsson
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Te-Huna
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Heikkola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evans 8.2
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
Fast finishes by Gustafsson
133 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
521 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
461 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans
legend Gustafsson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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