UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Johnson

2,153

CageRank

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,249

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Johnson
Heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 201 cm vs 198 cm Almost the same
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Slightly younger 30 years vs 32 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Johnson
In 11:22, how much damage will he do? Johnson Gustafsson
Significant Strikes55
Johnson's good striking offense may be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:22
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Johnson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 11:22, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Johnson
Significant Strikes51
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:22
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gustafsson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Johnson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:22
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Johnson 8.9
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Johnson 8.7
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
Great takedowns by Johnson
4 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Kyle
4 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Hardy
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2008 vs Burns

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 9.7
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Kyle
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.5
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
Great submissions by Gustafsson
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Te-Huna
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Heikkola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 9.1
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
Fast finishes by Johnson
238 seconds Nov 03, 2012 vs Linderman
169 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Brenneman
41 seconds Oct 24, 2009 vs Yoshida
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 24, 2015UFC on Fox 14
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Gustafsson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 4 comments.
Ha noway, if you look at who rumble has beaten the last 3 years, hes faced way tuffer opponents than gus, i like gus alot, but im betting rumble, i think he may be too powerful, servious camp/coaches too.
63 percent really That seems kinda high
True, gus gets past 1,2 round its all his. Anthiny wont get in a lucky ounch after that i think
This is BS. Gustafsson is much better striker overall, has the reach advantage, and height and will easily run circles around Johnson. Johnsons only chance is a lucky punchers chance
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