UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Matyushenko

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

1,882

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Much younger 31 years vs 47 years Around 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.6 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 201 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Vladimir Matyushenko
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matyushenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 9:20, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Matyushenko
Significant Strikes53
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Matyushenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:20
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gustafsson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Matyushenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Matyushenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vladimir
Matyushenko
In 9:20, how much damage will he do? Matyushenko Gustafsson
Significant Strikes34
Matyushenko's average striking offense is matched by Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:20
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Matyushenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Matyushenko has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Matyushenko 8.4
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
fighter Matyushenko 8.4
Great takedowns by Gustafsson
6 takedowns Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
1 takedown Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
2 takedowns Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Matyushenko 7.8
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter Matyushenko 6.8
Great submissions by Gustafsson
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Te-Huna
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Heikkola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter Matyushenko 8.0
Fast finishes by Gustafsson
133 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
521 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
461 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 30, 2011UFC 141
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XDEC
1,9882,050
2,0471,991
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend Matyushenko
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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