UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Te-Huna

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

1,903

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.3 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 31 years vs 37 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 201 cm vs 193 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for James Te-Huna
From what we can tell, Alexander Gustafsson dominates James Te-Huna in every way.
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Te-Huna’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 6:50, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Te-Huna
Significant Strikes36
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Te-Huna's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:50
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gustafsson's average takedown offense is matched by Te-Huna's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Te-Huna on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
James
Te-Huna
In 6:50, how much damage will he do? Te-Huna Gustafsson
Significant Strikes29
Te-Huna's good striking offense may be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:50
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Te-Huna's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Te-Huna has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Te-Huna is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Te-Huna is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Te-Huna 8.6
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
fighter Te-Huna 8.2
Great takedowns by Gustafsson
6 takedowns Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
1 takedown Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
2 takedowns Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Te-Huna 8.4
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter Te-Huna 6.3
Great submissions by Gustafsson
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Te-Huna
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Heikkola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter Te-Huna 8.1
Fast finishes by Gustafsson
133 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
521 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
461 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 27, 2011UFC 127
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,8861,879
1,9351,830
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend Te-Huna
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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