UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Hunt

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
75% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

1,958

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 30 years vs 43 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly longer reach 201 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Mark Hunt
Significantly heavier 261 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hunt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 10:02, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Hunt
Significant Strikes47
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:02
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gustafsson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hunt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:02
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hunt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Hunt
In 10:02, how much damage will he do? Hunt Gustafsson
Significant Strikes42
Hunt's good striking offense may be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:02
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hunt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:02
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hunt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hunt is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hunt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
fighter Hunt 8.2
Great takedowns by Gustafsson
6 takedowns Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
1 takedown Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
2 takedowns Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Hunt 8.6
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter Hunt 6.6
Great submissions by Gustafsson
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Te-Huna
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Heikkola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter Hunt 7.8
Fast finishes by Gustafsson
133 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
521 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
461 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend Hunt
Read More
Gustafsson vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Hunt vs Cormier
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus