UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Hamman

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

1,705

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Much stronger jaw 9.7 vs 7.8 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much harder to hit 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 201 cm vs 194 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Jared Hamman
From what we can tell, Alexander Gustafsson dominates Jared Hamman in every way.
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hamman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 5:16, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Hamman
Significant Strikes37
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Hamman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gustafsson's average takedown offense is matched by Hamman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:16
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hamman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jared
Hamman
In 5:16, how much damage will he do? Hamman Gustafsson
Significant Strikes27
Hamman's excellent striking offense will dominate Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 47 Significant Strikes in 5:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Hamman's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:16
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hamman is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hamman is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hamman is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Hamman 9.0
Great striking by Hamman
53 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Dollaway
60 strikes Mar 27, 2010 vs Wallace
15 strikes Jun 09, 2006 vs Graham

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 8.4
fighter Hamman 7.5
Great takedowns by Gustafsson
6 takedowns Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
1 takedown Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
2 takedowns Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Hamman 8.0
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter Hamman 6.6
Great submissions by Gustafsson
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Te-Huna
Round 2 Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Round 2 Nov 17, 2007 vs Heikkola

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter Hamman 7.7
Fast finishes by Gustafsson
133 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
521 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
461 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 14, 2009UFC 105
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 KO
1,8211,876
1,8791,818
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend Hamman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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