UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gustafsson vs Latifi

2,153

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gustafsson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Gustafsson
WILL WIN

1,894

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexander Gustafsson
Much taller 193 cm vs 173 cm More than 10% taller
Much stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 201 cm vs 187 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Ilir Latifi
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Gustafsson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Latifi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Gustafsson
In 9:34, how much damage will he do? Gustafsson Latifi
Significant Strikes57
Gustafsson's excellent striking offense will dominate Latifi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:34
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gustafsson's average takedown offense is matched by Latifi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gustafsson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gustafsson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gustafsson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Latifi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gustafsson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ilir
Latifi
In 9:34, how much damage will he do? Latifi Gustafsson
Significant Strikes36
Latifi's average striking offense is matched by Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:34
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Latifi's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gustafsson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:34
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Latifi is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Latifi is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Latifi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Latifi 8.4
Great striking by Gustafsson
72 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Rua
76 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Silva
10 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gustafsson 9.0
fighter Latifi 7.7
Great knockouts by Gustafsson
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
Round 2 Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Hamman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gustafsson 7.3
fighter Latifi 7.7
Great submissions by Latifi
Round 1 Mar 23, 2012 vs Bogdanov
Round 1 May 22, 2009 vs Krbanjevic
Round 1 Feb 27, 2009 vs Pinho

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gustafsson 8.9
fighter Latifi 8.5
Fast finishes by Gustafsson
133 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Matyushenko
521 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Hamill
461 seconds Oct 16, 2010 vs Diabate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gustafsson
legend Latifi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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