UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gomi vs Griffin

2,012

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gomi

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
74% chance Gomi
WILL WIN

1,834

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 7.8 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Tyson Griffin
Much stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Griffin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 11:52, how much damage will he do? Gomi Griffin
Significant Strikes64
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:52
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Griffin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyson
Griffin
In 11:52, how much damage will he do? Griffin Gomi
Significant Strikes62
Griffin's good striking offense may be a factor against Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Griffin's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Griffin is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Griffin is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Griffin is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gomi 8.9
fighter Griffin 8.7
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.2
fighter Griffin 8.1
Great takedowns by Griffin
3 takedowns Jul 05, 2008 vs Aurelio
2 takedowns Sep 22, 2007 vs Tavares
1 takedown Jun 09, 2006 vs Ludwig

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gomi 8.4
fighter Griffin 7.4
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.0
fighter Griffin 7.0
Great submissions by Griffin
Round 1 Sep 23, 2006 vs Lee
Round 1 Apr 08, 2006 vs Kim
Round 1 Apr 09, 2005 vs Williams

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gomi 8.2
fighter Griffin 7.6
Fast finishes by Gomi
64 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
74 seconds Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
462 seconds Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
2,0221,973
2,0651,930
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gomi
legend Griffin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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