UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gomi vs Kawajiri

2,012

CageRank

WINNER
Kawajiri

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance Kawajiri
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tatsuya Kawajiri
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.2 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Kawajiri on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tatsuya
Kawajiri
In 12:15, how much damage will he do? Kawajiri Gomi
Significant Strikes46
Kawajiri's average striking offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Kawajiri's excellent takedown offense will dominate Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:15
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kawajiri is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kawajiri has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kawajiri is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kawajiri’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 12:15, how much damage will he do? Gomi Kawajiri
Significant Strikes43
Gomi's good striking offense won't be a factor against Kawajiri's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:15
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Kawajiri's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:15
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Kawajiri 8.0
fighter Gomi 8.9
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Kawajiri 9.2
fighter Gomi 7.2
Great takedowns by Kawajiri
6 takedowns Dec 31, 2010 vs Thomson
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2009 vs Yokota
4 takedowns May 26, 2009 vs Cavalcante

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kawajiri 7.5
fighter Gomi 8.4
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kawajiri 8.4
fighter Gomi 7.0
Great submissions by Kawajiri
Round 1 Mar 31, 2012 vs Sanchez
Round 2 Dec 31, 2011 vs Miyata
Round 3 Sep 24, 2011 vs Hansen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kawajiri 8.5
fighter Gomi 8.2
Fast finishes by Kawajiri
750 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Hansen
8 seconds Feb 17, 2006 vs Hansen
491 seconds Dec 14, 2004 vs Ribeiro
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 25, 2005Pride - Bushido 9
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 KOX
2,0551,974
2,0931,935
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kawajiri
legend Gomi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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