UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - MacDonald vs Saffiedine

2,198

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
MacDonald

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
66% chance MacDonald
WILL WIN

2,085

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rory MacDonald
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much longer reach 194 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 28 years vs 30 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Tarec Saffiedine
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saffiedine’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rory
MacDonald
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? MacDonald Saffiedine
Significant Strikes85
MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
MacDonald's good takedown offense is matched by Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
MacDonald has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Saffiedine on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tarec
Saffiedine
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Saffiedine MacDonald
Significant Strikes67
Saffiedine's good striking offense is matched by MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Saffiedine's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Saffiedine has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter MacDonald 9.1
fighter Saffiedine 8.9
Great striking by MacDonald
46 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Ellenberger
116 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
24 strikes Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter MacDonald 8.8
fighter Saffiedine 7.7
Great takedowns by MacDonald
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
7 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Diaz
2 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter MacDonald 8.2
fighter Saffiedine 6.7
Great knockouts by MacDonald
Round 2 Apr 21, 2012 vs Mills
Round 1 Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle
Round 2 Nov 28, 2008 vs French

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter MacDonald 7.5
fighter Saffiedine 7.1
Great submissions by MacDonald
Round 1 Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon
Round 1 Jun 17, 2006 vs Mein
Round 1 Oct 15, 2005 vs Thiara

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter MacDonald 8.4
fighter Saffiedine 7.4
Fast finishes by MacDonald
440 seconds Apr 21, 2012 vs Mills
234 seconds Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle
267 seconds Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 4, 2014UFC Fight Night 54
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend MacDonald
legend Saffiedine
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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