UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Penn vs Gomi

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Gomi

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
55% chance Gomi
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for B.J. Penn
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gomi Penn
Significant Strikes85
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Penn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
B.J.
Penn
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Penn Gomi
Significant Strikes87
Penn's excellent striking offense will dominate Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Penn's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penn is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Penn has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Penn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gomi 8.9
fighter Penn 9.0
Great striking by Penn
7 strikes Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
122 strikes May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
17 strikes Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.2
fighter Penn 8.1
Great takedowns by Penn
1 takedown Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
3 takedowns Jun 23, 2007 vs Pulver
4 takedowns Oct 10, 2003 vs Gomi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gomi 8.4
fighter Penn 7.9
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gomi 7.0
fighter Penn 8.1
Great submissions by Penn
Round 4 Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gomi 8.2
fighter Penn 8.3
Fast finishes by Penn
21 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
900 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
279 seconds Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 10, 2003ROTR 4
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XDEC
1,7921,910
1,8581,844
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gomi
legend Penn
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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