UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Penn vs Siver

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Siver

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
53% chance Siver
WILL WIN

2,000

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dennis Siver
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for B.J. Penn
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Siver on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Siver
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Siver Penn
Significant Strikes85
Siver's good striking offense may be a factor against Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Siver's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Siver is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Siver is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Siver has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Penn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Siver’s defensive skills
Predictions For
B.J.
Penn
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Penn Siver
Significant Strikes80
Penn's excellent striking offense will dominate Siver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Penn's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Siver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penn is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Penn has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Penn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Siver 8.9
fighter Penn 9.0
Great striking by Penn
7 strikes Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
122 strikes May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
17 strikes Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Siver 7.3
fighter Penn 8.1
Great takedowns by Penn
1 takedown Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
3 takedowns Jun 23, 2007 vs Pulver
4 takedowns Oct 10, 2003 vs Gomi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Siver 7.2
fighter Penn 7.9
Great knockouts by Penn
Round 1 Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
Round 5 Dec 12, 2009 vs Sanchez
Round 3 May 24, 2008 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Siver 7.6
fighter Penn 8.1
Great submissions by Penn
Round 4 Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Siver 7.7
fighter Penn 8.3
Fast finishes by Penn
21 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
900 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
279 seconds Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Siver
legend Penn
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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