UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Penn vs St. Pierre

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
94% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,455

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 8.1 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for B.J. Penn
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Penn
Significant Strikes96
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Penn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
B.J.
Penn
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Penn St. Pierre
Significant Strikes47
Penn's excellent striking offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Penn's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penn is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Penn has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Penn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Penn 9.0
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Penn 8.1
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Penn 7.9
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Penn 8.1
Great submissions by Penn
Round 4 Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Penn 8.3
Fast finishes by Penn
21 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
900 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
279 seconds Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 31, 2009UFC 94
team
VS
team
XR4 KO
XDEC
2,0582,217
2,0292,246
March 4, 2006UFC 58
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 KO
1,9362,036
1,9002,072
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Penn
Read More
St. Pierre vs Ortiz
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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