UFC fight predictions and analysis
Upcoming:
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Penn vs Edgar

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Edgar

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance Edgar
WILL WIN

2,131

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frankie Edgar
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 36 years vs 39 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for B.J. Penn
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Edgar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frankie
Edgar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Edgar Penn
Significant Strikes90
Edgar's excellent striking offense will dominate Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Edgar's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edgar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edgar is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edgar has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Penn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edgar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
B.J.
Penn
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Penn Edgar
Significant Strikes69
Penn's excellent striking offense will dominate Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Penn's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Edgar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penn is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Penn has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Penn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edgar 9.1
fighter Penn 9.0
Great striking by Edgar
61 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Maynard
61 strikes Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
74 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edgar 9.0
fighter Penn 8.1
Great takedowns by Edgar
3 takedowns Aug 28, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown Apr 10, 2010 vs Penn
1 takedown May 23, 2009 vs Sherk

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edgar 7.7
fighter Penn 7.9
Great knockouts by Penn
Round 1 Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
Round 5 Dec 12, 2009 vs Sanchez
Round 3 May 24, 2008 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edgar 7.2
fighter Penn 8.1
Great submissions by Penn
Round 4 Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edgar 7.5
fighter Penn 8.3
Fast finishes by Penn
21 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
900 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
279 seconds Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 6, 2014TUF 19 Finale
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XX
00
00
August 28, 2010UFC 118
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XDEC
2,0752,094
2,0272,142
April 10, 2010UFC 112
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
R1 SUBX
2,1402,029
2,0752,094
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edgar
legend Penn
Read More
Penn vs Lawler
Fantasy Cage Match
Edgar vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus