UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Penn vs Sanchez

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Sanchez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Sanchez
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.7 Almost the same
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for B.J. Penn
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Penn
Significant Strikes80
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sanchez's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Penn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
B.J.
Penn
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Penn Sanchez
Significant Strikes85
Penn's excellent striking offense will dominate Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Penn's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penn is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Penn has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Penn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sanchez 8.7
fighter Penn 9.0
Great striking by Penn
7 strikes Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
122 strikes May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
17 strikes Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sanchez 8.5
fighter Penn 8.1
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Penn 7.9
Great knockouts by Penn
Round 1 Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
Round 5 Dec 12, 2009 vs Sanchez
Round 3 May 24, 2008 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Penn 8.1
Great submissions by Penn
Round 4 Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sanchez 7.7
fighter Penn 8.3
Fast finishes by Penn
21 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
900 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
279 seconds Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2009UFC 107
team
VS
team
R5 KOX
XDEC
2,0872,108
2,1402,055
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sanchez
legend Penn
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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