UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Penn vs Pulver

1,979

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Penn

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Penn
WILL WIN

1,595

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for B.J. Penn
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.4 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 38 years vs 42 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Jens Pulver
From what we can tell, B.J. Penn dominates Jens Pulver in every way.
Penn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pulver’s defensive skills
Predictions For
B.J.
Penn
In 8:27, how much damage will he do? Penn Pulver
Significant Strikes48
Penn's excellent striking offense will dominate Pulver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:27
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Penn's average takedown offense is matched by Pulver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:27
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penn has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Penn has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Penn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pulver on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jens
Pulver
In 8:27, how much damage will he do? Pulver Penn
Significant Strikes31
Pulver's average striking offense is matched by Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:27
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Pulver's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Penn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:27
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pulver is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pulver is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pulver is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Penn 9.0
fighter Pulver 8.0
Great striking by Penn
7 strikes Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
122 strikes May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
17 strikes Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Penn 8.1
fighter Pulver 7.1
Great takedowns by Penn
1 takedown Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
3 takedowns Jun 23, 2007 vs Pulver
4 takedowns Oct 10, 2003 vs Gomi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Penn 7.9
fighter Pulver 6.9
Great knockouts by Penn
Round 1 Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
Round 5 Dec 12, 2009 vs Sanchez
Round 3 May 24, 2008 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Penn 8.1
fighter Pulver 6.4
Great submissions by Penn
Round 4 Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Penn 8.3
fighter Pulver 7.2
Fast finishes by Penn
21 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
900 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
279 seconds Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 23, 2007TUF 5 Finale
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R1 KOX
1,8831,837
1,9261,793
January 11, 2002UFC 35
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XR2 KO
1,7111,893
1,6851,919
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Penn
legend Pulver
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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