UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Penn vs Rodriguez

1,979

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Penn

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Penn
WILL WIN

1,538

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for B.J. Penn
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 7.2 Around 35% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 7.5 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Yair Rodriguez
Much younger 24 years vs 38 years More than 35% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Penn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rodriguez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
B.J.
Penn
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penn has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Penn has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Penn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Rodriguez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yair
Rodriguez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rodriguez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Penn 7.9
fighter Rodriguez 7.4
Great knockouts by Penn
Round 1 Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
Round 5 Dec 12, 2009 vs Sanchez
Round 3 May 24, 2008 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Penn 8.1
fighter Rodriguez 7.3
Great submissions by Penn
Round 4 Aug 08, 2009 vs Florian
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Penn 8.3
fighter Rodriguez 7.8
Fast finishes by Penn
21 seconds Nov 20, 2010 vs Hughes
900 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Sherk
279 seconds Jan 31, 2004 vs Hughes
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Penn
legend Rodriguez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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