UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Noke vs Sobotta

1,874

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Noke

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
51% chance Noke
WILL WIN

1,869

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kyle Noke
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Longer reach 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Peter Sobotta
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 30 years vs 37 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Noke on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sobotta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kyle
Noke
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Noke Sobotta
Significant Strikes87
Noke's good striking offense may be a factor against Sobotta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Noke's good takedown offense may be a factor against Sobotta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Noke is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Noke is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Noke is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Sobotta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Noke’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Peter
Sobotta
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sobotta Noke
Significant Strikes40
Sobotta's average striking offense won't be a factor against Noke's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sobotta's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Noke's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sobotta is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sobotta has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sobotta is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Noke 8.8
fighter Sobotta 8.1
Great striking by Noke
7 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Brenneman
4 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Camozzi
25 strikes Nov 13, 2010 vs Kimmons

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Noke 8.8
fighter Sobotta 8.3
Great takedowns by Noke
1 takedown Feb 27, 2011 vs Camozzi
3 takedowns Nov 13, 2010 vs Kimmons

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Noke 7.5
fighter Sobotta 6.7
Great knockouts by Noke
Round 1 Sep 22, 2012 vs Brenneman
Round 2 Jun 19, 2010 vs Bryant
Round 2 Nov 10, 2007 vs Kleinbeck

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Noke 7.6
fighter Sobotta 8.3
Great submissions by Sobotta
Round 1 Nov 10, 2012 vs Dadaev
Round 1 Apr 27, 2012 vs Manuel Suarez
Round 1 Mar 24, 2012 vs Panin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Noke 8.4
fighter Sobotta 8.4
Fast finishes by Sobotta
130 seconds Nov 10, 2012 vs Dadaev
138 seconds Apr 27, 2012 vs Manuel Suarez
672 seconds Sep 13, 2008 vs Abzailov
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 14, 2015UFC 193
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Noke
legend Sobotta
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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