UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rousey vs Kaufman

2,076

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
67% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 7.3 More than 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 6.1 More than 50% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.4 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Sarah Kaufman
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Kaufman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 4:10, how much damage will she do? Rousey Kaufman
Significant Strikes23
Rousey's average striking offense may be a factor against Kaufman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:10
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate Kaufman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:10
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kaufman on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sarah
Kaufman
In 4:10, how much damage will she do? Kaufman Rousey
Significant Strikes22
Kaufman's good striking offense may be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:10
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Kaufman's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:10
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kaufman is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kaufman is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kaufman has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter Kaufman 8.8
Great striking by Kaufman
135 strikes Mar 03, 2012 vs Davis
80 strikes Jul 23, 2010 vs Modafferi
164 strikes Feb 26, 2010 vs Hashi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter Kaufman 7.4
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter Kaufman 7.9
Great knockouts by Kaufman
Round 3 Jul 23, 2010 vs Modafferi
Round 2 Apr 23, 2009 vs Schneider
Round 2 Oct 19, 2007 vs Marquez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter Kaufman 6.1
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter Kaufman 7.3
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR1 KO
1,8671,968
1,9311,904
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend Kaufman
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Kaufman vs Lesnar
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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