UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rousey vs Dillashaw

2,076

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
62% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

1,994

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 7.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for T.J. Dillashaw
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Dillashaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 4:41, how much damage will she do? Rousey Dillashaw
Significant Strikes20
Rousey's average striking offense is matched by Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 42 Significant Strikes in 4:41
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:41
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Dillashaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Dillashaw
In 4:41, how much damage will he do? Dillashaw Rousey
Significant Strikes24
Dillashaw's good striking offense may be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 42 Significant Strikes in 4:41
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Dillashaw's good takedown offense is matched by Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:41
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter Dillashaw 8.7
Great striking by Dillashaw
117 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
21 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
85 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Watson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter Dillashaw 9.1
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter Dillashaw 8.2
Great knockouts by Dillashaw
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
Round 2 Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura
Round 3 Nov 20, 2010 vs McCorriston

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter Dillashaw 7.5
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter Dillashaw 8.1
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend Dillashaw
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 12 comments.
not even against female fighters apparently.
TJ would light her on fire like he did Renan its not comparable, Ronda beats women who started training 3 years ago and shes the Womens G.O.A.T. TJs been wrestling his whole life and is a Duane Bang Ninja his kickboxing is 3rd all time in the UFC. Rondas striking is not even near the realm of TJs while TJs grappling is closer to her ability, so just stop your nonsense, once he shifts once and lands that drop shift cross to lead leg head kick she would be wobbling like Joe Soto or knocked dead like Renan or worse it would be a shooting gallery like Dillashaw Renan 2.
The meaning of the story is that if your not willing to do something out of your comfort zone and atleast try then what are you doing here, why are you here. It takes heart to when a fight and dillashaw will lose very soon.
wtf is this shit
Anyone who thinks Ronda has any chance against TJ is a dumbass who has never trained a day in their life. TJ would annihilate her and win by way of whatever way he wants.
No offense people, but Dillashaw would absolutely dominate her feeble female body!!!!
OMG he would destroy her! They need to stop this nonsense! She is a bad ass woman! He is a bad ass man! He would light her up in the 1st round & end it
It takes heart to win a fight, even if someone is ten times better then you, if you have more heart, then you can win.
He, who is brave, is one that meets the opportunity of freedom. He, who sees into the future, sees beyond the past. It takes heart to do something you love when you are scared to try, do you think that a fighter wasn't shaking in his boots the first time he heard that he could go into the ufc and try to do something. People think that when someone is so good at something, they were just born into that but that's not true, it takes hard work and dedication to even try something. If your afraid to walk to a girl and say hi or use a pick up line but you see guys having any girl they want, well it doesn't mean that they are that comfortable and were just born into something that your not because even when your at your highest and your best, the greatest can fall. I dare you to try one thing that your most scared of to try and jump right into that because it is better to fail at something and keep trying then to never try at all and think that you couldn't jump over and overcome something that you could of defeated or atleast tried in something that most people are scared of. I dare you to go up to a girl and say the cheesiest pick up line that you could think of. You can even say a poem. For example, you could say a very well known pick up line, do you have a bandaid, because I scraped my knee falling for you or one that I thought of my self, roses are red and violets are blue, would you kiss me, because I'd kiss you.
this is just stupid, tj has never been taken down in the ufc and his wrestling is fantastic, plus is striking is wicked and would definitely ko ronda with a head kick
Yeah cause TJ swings like a girl right?
Are you kidding? She has an excellent jaw against female strikers. Not men.
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