UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rousey vs Woodley

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Woodley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
52% chance Woodley
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much longer reach 188 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 169 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 9:20, how much damage will he do? Woodley Rousey
Significant Strikes53
Woodley's good striking offense may be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:20
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Woodley's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 9:20, how much damage will she do? Rousey Woodley
Significant Strikes31
Rousey's average striking offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 84 Significant Strikes in 9:20
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Rousey's excellent takedown offense is matched by Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:20
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Rousey 8.5
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Woodley 8.4
fighter Rousey 9.4
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Woodley 8.5
fighter Rousey 7.4
Great knockouts by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
Round 1 Oct 09, 2010 vs Galvao

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Woodley 7.7
fighter Rousey 9.3
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Rousey 9.9
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Woodley
legend Rousey
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Woodley vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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