UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Siver vs Diaz

2,000

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
58% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,056

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nate Diaz
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 183 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 32 years vs 38 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Dennis Siver
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Siver’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Diaz
In 9:55, how much damage will he do? Diaz Siver
Significant Strikes59
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Siver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:55
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Siver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:55
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Siver on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Siver
In 9:55, how much damage will he do? Siver Diaz
Significant Strikes51
Siver's good striking offense may be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:55
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Siver's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:55
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Siver is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Siver is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Siver has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.3
fighter Siver 8.9
Great striking by Diaz
33 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
46 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Miller
238 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Cerrone

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Diaz 7.8
fighter Siver 7.3
Great takedowns by Diaz
1 takedown Aug 28, 2010 vs Davis
2 takedowns Sep 16, 2009 vs Guillard
5 takedowns Sep 17, 2008 vs Neer

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 7.4
fighter Siver 7.2
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Markham
Round 1 May 05, 2006 vs Rael

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.6
fighter Siver 7.6
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 2 May 05, 2012 vs Miller
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 28, 2010 vs Davis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Siver 7.7
Fast finishes by Diaz
158 seconds Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
549 seconds May 05, 2012 vs Miller
267 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Gomi
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Siver
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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