UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Siver vs Cerrone

2,000

CageRank

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,206

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
A lot taller 183 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Dennis Siver
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Siver’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 8:09, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Siver
Significant Strikes44
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Siver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:09
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cerrone's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Siver's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Siver on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dennis
Siver
In 8:09, how much damage will he do? Siver Cerrone
Significant Strikes48
Siver's good striking offense may be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:09
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Siver's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:09
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Siver is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Siver is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Siver has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Siver 8.9
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Siver 7.3
Great takedowns by Cerrone
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki
3 takedowns Sep 30, 2010 vs Varner

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Siver 7.2
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Siver 7.6
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Siver 7.7
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 29, 2011UFC 137
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 SUB
2,0232,062
1,9782,106
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Siver
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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