UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Perosh vs Penner

1,871

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Perosh

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
66% chance Perosh
WILL WIN

1,755

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Perosh
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Nick Penner
Younger 38 years vs 46 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 196 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Perosh on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Penner’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Perosh
In 8:31, how much damage will he do? Perosh Penner
Significant Strikes41
Perosh's average striking offense is matched by Penner's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:31
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Perosh's average takedown offense may be a factor against Penner's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Perosh has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Perosh is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Perosh is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Penner on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Perosh’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Penner
In 8:31, how much damage will he do? Penner Perosh
Significant Strikes38
Penner's average striking offense may be a factor against Perosh's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:31
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Penner's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Perosh's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Penner is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Penner is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Penner is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Perosh 8.4
fighter Penner 8.1
Great striking by Perosh
8 strikes Aug 03, 2013 vs Magalhaes
25 strikes Mar 03, 2012 vs Penner
17 strikes Nov 05, 2011 vs Diabate

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Perosh 8.2
fighter Penner 8.2
Great takedowns by Perosh
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Penner
2 takedowns Nov 05, 2011 vs Diabate
1 takedown Feb 27, 2011 vs Blackledge

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Perosh 8.0
fighter Penner 7.3
Great knockouts by Perosh
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Magalhaes
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Penner
Round 1 May 22, 2009 vs Carey

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Perosh 7.9
fighter Penner 7.4
Great submissions by Perosh
Round 2 Nov 05, 2011 vs Diabate
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Blackledge
Round 1 Nov 29, 2003 vs Hemara

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Perosh 8.7
fighter Penner 7.6
Fast finishes by Perosh
14 seconds Aug 03, 2013 vs Magalhaes
299 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Penner
489 seconds Nov 05, 2011 vs Diabate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 3, 2012UFC on FX 2
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 KO
1,8241,865
1,8801,809
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Perosh
legend Penner
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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