UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Franklin vs Lutter

1,987

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Franklin

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
73% chance Franklin
WILL WIN

1,812

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rich Franklin
Better striker 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.3 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Travis Lutter
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Franklin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lutter’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rich
Franklin
In 10:17, how much damage will he do? Franklin Lutter
Significant Strikes50
Franklin's excellent striking offense will dominate Lutter's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:17
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Franklin's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lutter's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:17
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Franklin has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Franklin is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Franklin is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lutter on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Franklin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Travis
Lutter
In 10:17, how much damage will he do? Lutter Franklin
Significant Strikes17
Lutter's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Franklin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:17
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lutter's good takedown offense may be a factor against Franklin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:17
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lutter is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lutter has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lutter is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Franklin 9.2
fighter Lutter 7.6
Great striking by Franklin
24 strikes Jun 12, 2010 vs Liddell
36 strikes Jun 16, 2007 vs Okami
97 strikes Jun 04, 2005 vs Tanner

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Franklin 7.7
fighter Lutter 9.0
Great takedowns by Lutter
1 takedown Nov 11, 2006 vs Cote

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Franklin 8.3
fighter Lutter 6.8
Great knockouts by Franklin
Round 1 Jun 12, 2010 vs Liddell
Round 4 Jun 04, 2005 vs Tanner
Round 1 Apr 25, 2003 vs Tanner

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Franklin 7.2
fighter Lutter 8.3
Great submissions by Lutter
Round 1 Nov 11, 2006 vs Cote
Round 1 Feb 04, 2006 vs Landi-Jons
Round 1 Apr 04, 2004 vs Jakubowski

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Franklin 8.2
fighter Lutter 8.3
Fast finishes by Lutter
138 seconds Nov 11, 2006 vs Cote
240 seconds Feb 04, 2006 vs Landi-Jons
203 seconds Apr 04, 2004 vs Jakubowski
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 19, 2008UFC 83
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 SUBX
2,0751,843
2,0961,822
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Franklin
legend Lutter
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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