Hector Lombard Lightning 34-7-1

Weight 184 lbs
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71"
Age 39

Rory MacDonald 18-4 Red King

169 lbs
5' 11"
77"
28

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs MacDonald

CageRank

WINNER

55% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Hector Lombard

Fast finishes	9.4	vs	8.4	Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands	9.3	vs	8.2	Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw	9.6	vs	9.1	More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense	9.7	vs	9.2	More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight	10.0	vs	9.6	Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier	184 lbs	vs	169 lbs	Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control

Advantages for Rory MacDonald

Significantly younger	28 years	vs	39 years	Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly longer reach	194 cm	vs	180 cm	Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly harder to hit	9.0	vs	8.6	Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense	8.8	vs	8.3	More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker	9.1	vs	8.9	Almost the same
Taller	180 cm	vs	175 cm	Around 5% taller
Better submission offense	7.5	vs	7.4	Almost the same
Better takedown defense	8.8	vs	8.6	Almost the same

Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills

Predictions For Hector Lombard
In 10:45, how much damage will he do?	Lombard		MacDonald
Significant Strikes48 Lombard's good striking offense is matched by MacDonald's defense Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45	Good Striking	vs	Good Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Lombard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45	Average Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Lombard is unlikely to win by submission	Average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Lombard is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability

MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills

Predictions For Rory MacDonald
In 10:45, how much damage will he do?	MacDonald		Lombard
Significant Strikes62 MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate Lombard's defense Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45	Excellent Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 MacDonald's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45	Good Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission	Average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability