UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs MacDonald

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,198

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 9.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Rory MacDonald
Much longer reach 194 cm vs 180 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly younger 27 years vs 38 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 10:45, how much damage will he do? Lombard MacDonald
Significant Strikes48
Lombard's good striking offense is matched by MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rory
MacDonald
In 10:45, how much damage will he do? MacDonald Lombard
Significant Strikes62
MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
MacDonald's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter MacDonald 9.1
Great striking by MacDonald
46 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Ellenberger
116 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
24 strikes Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lombard 8.3
fighter MacDonald 8.8
Great takedowns by MacDonald
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
7 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Diaz
2 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter MacDonald 8.2
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter MacDonald 7.5
Great submissions by MacDonald
Round 1 Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon
Round 1 Jun 17, 2006 vs Mein
Round 1 Oct 15, 2005 vs Thiara

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter MacDonald 8.4
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend MacDonald
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
You're bugging if you think that Lombard is going to win against Rory... Do you even watch MMA???
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