VS
CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Lombard vs MacDonald
2,230
CageRank
WINNER
WINNER
Lombard
BY KO ROUND 3
55% chance Lombard
WILL WIN
2,198
CageRank
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
| Fast finishes | 9.4 | vs | 8.4 | Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
| Much heavier hands | 9.3 | vs | 8.2 | Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders |
| Stronger jaw | 9.6 | vs | 9.1 | More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
| Better submission defense | 9.7 | vs | 9.2 | More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
| Puts up a fight | 10.0 | vs | 9.6 | Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
| Heavier | 184 lbs | vs | 169 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Advantages for Rory MacDonald
| Significantly younger | 28 years | vs | 40 years | 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
| Significantly longer reach | 194 cm | vs | 180 cm | Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
| Significantly harder to hit | 9.0 | vs | 8.6 | Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
| Stronger takedown offense | 8.8 | vs | 8.3 | More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
| Better striker | 9.1 | vs | 8.9 | Almost the same |
| Taller | 180 cm | vs | 175 cm | Around 5% taller |
| Better submission offense | 7.5 | vs | 7.4 | Almost the same |
| Better takedown defense | 8.8 | vs | 8.6 | Almost the same |
Lombard on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
 Hector Lombard |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 10:45, how much damage will he do? | Lombard | MacDonald | |
|
Significant Strikes48
Lombard's good striking offense is matched by MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Good
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
|
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission |
Average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
MacDonald on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
 Rory MacDonald |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| In 10:45, how much damage will he do? | MacDonald | Lombard | |
|
Significant Strikes62
MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:45 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
|
Takedowns2
MacDonald's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:45 |
Good
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
| If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
|
Knockout
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
|
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission |
Average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
|
Decision
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
Lombard
8.9
MacDonald
9.1
Great striking by MacDonald
| 46 strikes | Jul 27, 2013 | vs Ellenberger |
| 116 strikes | Dec 08, 2012 | vs Penn |
| 24 strikes | Aug 06, 2011 | vs Pyle |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?
Lombard
9.3
MacDonald
8.2
Great knockouts by Lombard
| Round 1 | Oct 19, 2013 | vs Marquardt |
| Round 1 | Dec 15, 2012 | vs Palhares |
| Round 3 | May 14, 2011 | vs Vitale |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster?
Lombard
9.4
MacDonald
8.4
Fast finishes by Lombard
| 108 seconds | Oct 19, 2013 | vs Marquardt |
| 218 seconds | Dec 15, 2012 | vs Palhares |
| 386 seconds | Sep 03, 2011 | vs Taylor |
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
Lombard
MacDonald
Read More
Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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