UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Noke

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
89% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

1,874

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.5 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.6 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Kyle Noke
Much taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Noke’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 8:13, how much damage will he do? Lombard Noke
Significant Strikes37
Lombard's good striking offense is matched by Noke's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:13
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Noke's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Noke on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kyle
Noke
In 8:13, how much damage will he do? Noke Lombard
Significant Strikes44
Noke's good striking offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:13
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Noke's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:13
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Noke is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Noke is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Noke is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Noke 8.8
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lombard 8.3
fighter Noke 8.8
Great takedowns by Noke
1 takedown Feb 27, 2011 vs Camozzi
3 takedowns Nov 13, 2010 vs Kimmons

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Noke 7.5
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Noke 7.6
Great submissions by Noke
Round 1 Feb 27, 2011 vs Camozzi
Round 2 Nov 13, 2010 vs Kimmons
Round 2 Mar 19, 2004 vs Raborn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Noke 8.4
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XX
DECX
1,8381,804
1,8331,809
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Noke
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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