UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Palhares

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
68% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 6.3 More than 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 7.4 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 8:18, how much damage will he do? Lombard Palhares
Significant Strikes39
Lombard's good striking offense is matched by Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:18
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lombard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 8:18, how much damage will he do? Palhares Lombard
Significant Strikes20
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:18
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Palhares 7.5
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Palhares 6.3
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Palhares 9.7
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Palhares 9.6
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 15, 2012UFC on FX 6
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
2,1632,005
2,1921,976
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Palhares
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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