UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Hendricks

2,230

CageRank

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
54% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,259

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Significantly fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.7 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Lombard
Significant Strikes92
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Hendricks's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lombard Hendricks
Significant Strikes65
Lombard's good striking offense is matched by Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lombard's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Lombard 8.9
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Lombard 8.3
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Lombard 9.3
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Lombard 7.4
Great submissions by Lombard
Round 2 Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Starnes
Round 4 Sep 12, 2008 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Lombard 9.4
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 19, 2017UFC Fight Night 105
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Lombard
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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