UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lombard vs Doerksen

2,230

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lombard

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Lombard
WILL WIN

1,925

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Hector Lombard
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.1 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Doerksen
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 186 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Lombard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Doerksen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hector
Lombard
In 7:47, how much damage will he do? Lombard Doerksen
Significant Strikes42
Lombard's good striking offense may be a factor against Doerksen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:47
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lombard's average takedown offense is matched by Doerksen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lombard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lombard is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lombard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Doerksen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lombard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Doerksen
In 7:47, how much damage will he do? Doerksen Lombard
Significant Strikes24
Doerksen's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:47
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Doerksen's average takedown offense is matched by Lombard's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Doerksen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Doerksen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Doerksen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lombard 8.9
fighter Doerksen 7.8
Great striking by Lombard
10 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
24 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lombard 9.3
fighter Doerksen 7.1
Great knockouts by Lombard
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
Round 3 May 14, 2011 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lombard 7.4
fighter Doerksen 8.2
Great submissions by Doerksen
Round 3 Apr 16, 2005 vs Cote
Round 3 Oct 23, 2004 vs Herman
Round 1 Jun 07, 2003 vs Jensen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lombard 9.4
fighter Doerksen 8.0
Fast finishes by Lombard
108 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Marquardt
218 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Palhares
386 seconds Sep 03, 2011 vs Taylor
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
2,1671,871
2,1821,856
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lombard
legend Doerksen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus